Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.188387 1.346043 1.518321 1.720795 1.952557 2.209921 2.517880
2025-11-16 0.931441 1.133480 1.371755 1.674429 2.050006 2.502445 3.091375
2025-11-23 0.755448 0.975483 1.251952 1.626823 2.124929 2.768289 3.669084
2025-11-30 0.670952 0.912547 1.233492 1.694607 2.345988 3.241951 4.582677
2025-12-07 0.596164 0.848254 1.199817 1.731302 2.523942 3.677207 5.509558
2025-12-14 0.523510 0.774801 1.140481 1.718702 2.623587 4.007983 6.329687
2025-12-21 0.453241 0.694372 1.058648 1.658000 2.637042 4.203822 6.962709
2025-12-28 0.423659 0.671179 1.058983 1.722363 2.852719 4.744072 8.240484
2026-01-04 0.398271 0.650848 1.060189 1.786314 3.073580 5.319984 9.669209
2026-01-11 0.370469 0.622841 1.044730 1.818583 3.241711 5.824344 11.045814
2026-01-18 0.345284 0.596084 1.027690 1.844678 3.400104 6.329689 12.502752
2026-01-25 0.310272 0.548223 0.968284 1.785801 3.390743 6.515208 13.347174
2026-02-01 0.273981 0.495027 0.894941 1.694427 3.311444 6.562555 13.934114
2026-02-08 0.252047 0.465973 0.862930 1.678864 3.381051 6.920505 15.257259
2026-02-15 0.230506 0.435415 0.824779 1.646337 3.411203 7.200174 16.455072
2026-02-22 0.223644 0.432412 0.839473 1.723241 3.683587 8.042704 19.126784
2026-03-01 0.213474 0.421744 0.837660 1.764964 3.884431 8.755373 21.619688
2026-03-08 0.199088 0.401040 0.813142 1.754332 3.964966 9.200772 23.518762
2026-03-15 0.181537 0.372068 0.768428 1.693385 3.919720 9.337836 24.629181
2026-03-22 0.176587 0.369248 0.779095 1.759821 4.188836 10.291382 28.166438
2026-03-29 0.171793 0.366257 0.789000 1.825587 4.465636 11.308682 32.100705
2026-04-05 0.164791 0.357692 0.785551 1.858785 4.664369 12.152431 35.703403
2026-04-12 0.157831 0.348544 0.779812 1.885588 4.850177 12.991005 39.473409